Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.259139 0.278862 0.299795 0.323741 0.350467 0.379479 0.413496
2025-12-07 0.224201 0.252122 0.283684 0.322322 0.368788 0.423442 0.493458
2025-12-14 0.202450 0.234495 0.272311 0.320876 0.382557 0.459663 0.565646
2025-12-21 0.184082 0.217863 0.259009 0.313793 0.386378 0.481634 0.620407
2025-12-28 0.175583 0.211987 0.257659 0.320597 0.407493 0.527208 0.712418
2026-01-04 0.167451 0.205588 0.254653 0.324306 0.424033 0.567600 0.802534
2026-01-11 0.159310 0.198381 0.249734 0.324530 0.435098 0.600684 0.886100
2026-01-18 0.150205 0.189174 0.241280 0.318781 0.436418 0.618570 0.946997
2026-01-25 0.141132 0.179406 0.231314 0.309877 0.431820 0.626118 0.990562
2026-02-01 0.134053 0.171946 0.224049 0.304271 0.431581 0.640365 1.048243
2026-02-08 0.127291 0.164548 0.216396 0.297432 0.428589 0.649339 1.097020
2026-02-15 0.121819 0.158683 0.210594 0.292949 0.428901 0.663850 1.159200
2026-02-22 0.118978 0.156560 0.210319 0.297334 0.444886 0.709367 1.298519
2026-03-01 0.114826 0.152352 0.206731 0.296224 0.451445 0.738503 1.409659
2026-03-08 0.110968 0.148373 0.203235 0.294956 0.457507 0.767375 1.527619
2026-03-15 0.106186 0.142799 0.196988 0.288662 0.453822 0.776125 1.597563
2026-03-22 0.104673 0.142024 0.198087 0.294710 0.473374 0.835420 1.818054
2026-03-29 0.102628 0.140333 0.197628 0.298004 0.487975 0.886374 2.033558
2026-04-05 0.100044 0.137694 0.195504 0.298203 0.496501 0.925044 2.226616
2026-04-12 0.096514 0.133450 0.190582 0.293096 0.493914 0.937539 2.339818
2026-04-19 0.092615 0.128496 0.184302 0.285179 0.484938 0.933614 2.396168
2026-04-26 0.089517 0.124698 0.179766 0.280189 0.481627 0.943197 2.505541
2026-05-03 0.086369 0.120718 0.174778 0.274095 0.475511 0.945015 2.587465